Class 12 Maths Chapter 13 – Probability NCERT Solutions – FREE PDF Download | Hand – Written Notes

Chapter 13 Probability is the last chapter of Class 12 Mathematics. It is an extension of Chapter 11 (Three-Dimensional Geometry) and Chapter 12 (Linear Programming) in terms of logical thinking and analysis, but focuses on uncertainty and chance. Probability helps us understand the likelihood of events in real-life situations, games, experiments, and statistics.

At Edu Tehri, this chapter is explained with step-by-step formulas, solved examples, exercises, hand-written notes, and free PDFs.

What Is Probability?

Probability is a measure of how likely an event is to occur.

• Probability of an event E:
P(E) = \frac{\text{Number of favorable outcomes}}{\text{Total number of outcomes}}

• Probability values always lie between 0 and 1:
• P(E) = 0 → impossible event
• P(E) = 1 → certain event

Example: Tossing a fair coin

• Event: Getting head → favorable outcomes = 1
• Total outcomes = 2
• Probability: P(\text {head}) = \frac {1} {2}

Types of Events

1. Certain Event: P(E) = 1
2. Impossible Event: P(E) = 0
3. Simple Event: Contains only one outcome
4. Compound Event: Contains more than one outcome
5. Mutually Exclusive Events: Cannot occur together
6. Independent Events: Occurrence of one does not affect the other

Conditional Probability

Conditional probability is the probability of an event given that another event has already occurred.

P(A|B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)}, \quad P(B) \neq 0

Example:Drawing a red ball from a bag given a blue ball is already drawn.

Multiplication and Addition Theorems

Multiplication Theorem

For two events A and B:

P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B|A)

If A and B are independent:

P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B)

Problems with Non-Negative

Constraints: Variables x, y ≥ 0

Addition Theorem

For any two events A and B:

P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)

If A and B are mutually exclusive:

P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B)

Complementary Events

The probability of not happening an event is called complement probability:

P(A’) = 1 - P(A)

Where A’ is the complement of A.

Random Experiments

A random experiment is an experiment where the outcome cannot be predicted exactly.

Example:

• Tossing a coin
• Throwing a die
• Selecting a card from a deck

Sample Space (S): Set of all possible outcomes of a random experiment.

Probability Distribution

A probability distribution assigns probabilities to all possible outcomes of a random experiment.

For a discrete random variable X:
\sum P(X) = 1

Example: Rolling a die X = \{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6\}, \quad P(X) = \frac{1}{6} \text{ each}

Bayes’ Theorem (Optional / Advanced)

Bayes’ theorem calculates conditional probability in reverse:

P(A|B) = \frac{P(B|A) \cdot P(A)}{P(B)}

It is less frequent in boards, but appears in numerical problems.

Important Formulas – Chapter 13

Download Important Formula - Free PDF

1. Probability: P(E) = \frac{\text{Favorable outcomes}}{\text{Total outcomes}}
2. Complement: P(A’) = 1 - P(A)
3. Addition: P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)
4. Multiplication: P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B|A)
5. Independent events: P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B)
6. Conditional probability: P(A|B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)}

Important Points to Remember

• Probability always lies between 0 and 1
• Complement of an event helps in easier calculation
• Conditional probability depends on a given condition
• For two independent events: P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B)
• Maximum probability = 1, minimum probability = 0

Key Features of Chapter 13

• Concept-based chapter
• Very scoring if formulas and methods are clear
• Includes practical examples
• Foundation for statistics and probability in higher classes
• Fixed pattern in boards

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. Why is Probability important in Class 12 Maths?

Probability has high weightage in exams, connects maths with real-life situations, and develops logical thinking.

Q2. Is NCERT enough for Probability?

Yes, NCERT questions cover almost all board-level problems. Practice all exercises carefully.

Q3. Which type of problem is most important?

Conditional probability, independent events, and real-life word problems are most important.

Q4. How to score full marks?

• Practice NCERT exercises thoroughly
• Draw tree diagrams for conditional problems
• Learn formulas carefully
• Avoid calculation mistakes

Q5. Where can students get free solutions and notes?

Students can get free NCERT solutions, handwritten notes, and PDFs on Edu Tehri.

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